Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?

The Republican race for the presidential nomination is down to just one man and one number: Donald Trump and 1,237 — the number of delegates required to clinch the nomination. Can Trump win 1,237 delegates by the end of the primary season on June 7? Will he be forced to plunder among the more than 100 unbound or currently uncommitted delegates who will make the trip to Cleveland in order to win on a first ballot at the Republican National Convention? Or are we all but assured of a multi-ballot convention?
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PolitickerNJ: GOP Pollster Adam Geller Nails It in Florida

Last night clearly belonged to Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. But if you’re looking for a New Jersey angle, a good one can be found in Adam Geller, the GOP pollster who runs National Research, Inc.
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Roll Call: Tennessean Spends Big To Make Indianans Get To Know Him

After spending $221,000 on the air in Indiana’s 9th District over the past five weeks, Indiana Jobs Now, a super PAC backing Republican Trey Hollingsworth, has released an internal poll suggesting that the Tennessee transplant is gaining traction in the district.
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Philly.com: Exclusive Poll: Kenney in Front

James F. Kenney holds a commanding lead in Philadelphia's Democratic mayoral primary, according to an independent poll conducted within the past week.
With less than a week until Tuesday's primary, a survey of 600 likely voters showed Kenney with 42 percent support, far ahead of both former District Attorney Lynne M. Abraham and state Sen. Anthony H. Williams, each of whom were favored by 15 percent of those polled.

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Civitas Poll Correctly Predicts Senate Outcome

“If turnout is high, it will be because Hagan and her allies turned out less-frequent voters. If turnout is low, it will resemble a typical midterm turnout and will benefit Tillis.   Right now, evidence points to an election that more typically resembles a midterm, though this can change over the next two weeks. But if the race were held today, Tillis would eke out a win against Hagan, 49%-47%, with the balance going to Haugh.”

So read the concluding paragraph of the polling memo that the Civitas Institute received from our pollster, Adam Geller, of National Research Inc., on October 22, a full 13 days prior to Election Day.
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