What President Trump understands that Democrats don't → September 5, 2019 Adam Geller As a practitioner of public opinion polling, I’ve studied, poked and analyzed opinions for more than 25 years. I’ve learned and grown to appreciate how fickle and malleable opinions can be. I’ve also come to understand through opinion research, why President Trump is playing a winning hand going into 2020 and why he is better positioned for victory than you might think.Mr. Trump isn’t playing the opinion game. He is playing on a different field. He is playing on beliefs and values. And his opponents are all too happy to assist him. Opinions can change, and they often do. Beliefs don’t change. We can change our opinion about a candidate, or a restaurant, or a TV series. But we don’t change our fundamental values. We don’t change our beliefs. Opinions are ephemeral. Beliefs are unwavering.Read More Here Read More
Trump super PAC girds for 2020 in key battlegrounds with new polling team → September 5, 2019 Adam Geller A key and well-funded pro-Trump super PAC and its sister nonprofit organization are ramping up for the 2020 election, hiring three national pollsters to help their efforts in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan.America First Action PAC and America First Policies told Secrets that they hired they Wes Anderson, Jon Lerner, and Adam Geller, all with extensive GOP polling background and experiences.“These three professionals are exceptional pollsters whom we trust and are committed to the mission of our organizations. We’re proud to have them on board,” said Brian O. Walsh, president of America First.Read More Here Read More
Tweet from Harry Enten 5-9-18 → May 9, 2018 Jennifer Munro BTW, this poll was really good from @adamhgeller who did it for a group not associated with any of the WV campaigns. Had Morrisey over Jenkins by 4. He won by 6. Had Morrisey over Blankenship by 12. It was 15. Read More
Poll: Ex-Con Coal Baron Dropping In West Virginia Senate Race → April 24, 2018 Jennifer Munro Republicans may be able to avoid disaster after all in West Virginia, according to a new poll.Controversial coal baron and ex-con Don Blankenship has dropped to third place in the Republican primary to face Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) in the fall, according to a new poll conducted for the neutral Republican group GOPAC. He sits at 12 percent support in the survey, with West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey at 24 percent and Rep. Evan Jenkins (R-WV) at 20 percent.Read More Here Read More
Poll: 70% support Trump's immigration policies, want Americans hired first → October 10, 2017 Jennifer Munro Most Americans support President Trump's immigration reform plans that aim to cut illegal entries and boost the hiring of legal Americans, according to a new survey just being circulated.Despite charges from Democratic leaders like Sen. Chuck Schumer and Rep. Nancy Pelosi that the "vast majority of Americans" decry Trump's America First focus, the new survey shows that many of the president's policies are supported by 70 percent to 80 percent of the public.Read More Here Read More
Trump Pollster: President’s Low Approval Ratings Aren’t Actually So Low → March 7, 2017 Adam Geller Pundits miss some of the same phenomena they failed to see in the electionWe’ve seen this movie before.Media coverage of President Trump’s polling numbers—his allegedly low job approval numbers, to be precise—veers from breathless to over the top.Does it sound a bit familiar? Of course it does. Read More Here Read More
Trump Campaign Pollster Explains What They Saw That Others Didn't → November 14, 2016 Jennifer Munro It's no secret that pundits and pollsters around the country got the election all wrong.But the pollsters in the Donald Trump campaign saw it differently, and they correctly forecasted his victory over Hillary Clinton.On "Fox & Friends Weekend," one of those Trump pollsters, Adam Geller, explained how they did it.Read More Here Read More
Polling For Trump → November 13, 2016 Jennifer Munro Host Michael Aron talks with Adam Geller, a Republican pollster who has worked for Governor Christie and Donald Trump. We hear his take on how this election was different from previous years.Watch the Interview Here Read More
Veteran Pollsters to Join Donald Trump's Campaign → July 14, 2016 Jennifer Munro Donald Trump will expand his roster of pollsters, with plans to add three new ones as his team shifts gears toward a general election with new urgency, according to a person briefed on the matter.Read More Here Read More
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention? → March 21, 2016 Jennifer Munro The Republican race for the presidential nomination is down to just one man and one number: Donald Trump and 1,237 — the number of delegates required to clinch the nomination. Can Trump win 1,237 delegates by the end of the primary season on June 7? Will he be forced to plunder among the more than 100 unbound or currently uncommitted delegates who will make the trip to Cleveland in order to win on a first ballot at the Republican National Convention? Or are we all but assured of a multi-ballot convention?Read More Here Read More
Civitas Polling Nails 2016 Primary Results → March 17, 2016 Kaylyn O The morning after the 2016 primary and reflecting on our last poll, it is amazing how accurate and thorough Civitas Polling was in calling the statewide primary results for both Democrat and Republican primaries and the bond referendum.Read More Here Read More
PolitickerNJ: GOP Pollster Adam Geller Nails It in Florida → March 16, 2016 Kaylyn O Last night clearly belonged to Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. But if you’re looking for a New Jersey angle, a good one can be found in Adam Geller, the GOP pollster who runs National Research, Inc.Read More Here Read More
TheStreet: Prepare for Blood at Tonight's GOP Debate on Fox News March 4, 2016 Kaylyn O "Likely, there's going to be some fireworks," said Fox News anchor Bret Baier, who will moderate the debate alongside Megyn Kelly and Chris Wallace, in a segment taped earlier this week.That's putting it lightly.Read More Here Read More
Roll Call: Tennessean Spends Big To Make Indianans Get To Know Him → March 2, 2016 Kaylyn O After spending $221,000 on the air in Indiana’s 9th District over the past five weeks, Indiana Jobs Now, a super PAC backing Republican Trey Hollingsworth, has released an internal poll suggesting that the Tennessee transplant is gaining traction in the district.Read More Here Read More
Politico: Poll: Trump on top, Cruz and Rubio virtually tied for second in South Carolina → February 19, 2016 Kaylyn O A new poll out one day before Saturday’s South Carolina primary shows Donald Trump maintaining a wide lead in the state and with Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio in a fight for second place.Read More Here Read More
The Washington Post: Chris Christie Hires Presidential Campaign Manager And Appoints Senior Staff → July 7, 2015 Kaylyn O Gov. Chris Christie has hired a seasoned Republican strategist to manage his nascent presidential campaign and has recruited other veteran operatives to round out a senior staff that also will include the top advisers who charted his rise in New Jersey.Read More Here Read More
Time: Republicans in Early Nominating States See Opposition to Gay Rights Fizzle → July 3, 2015 Kaylyn O Republicans in the first four states to weigh in on the GOP presidential nomination are not standing lockstep against gay marriage and largely support measures that protect LGBT people from discrimination, according to a series of GOP polls obtained by TIME.Read More Here Read More
To win, GOP must wake up on same-sex marriage → June 26, 2015 Jennifer Munro On Friday the Supreme Court of the United States agreed with what many Republicans have already concluded: that the Constitution guarantees all Americans the freedom to marry under the law and it cannot be infringed by the state. The conservative movement was founded on core principles of liberty, individual freedom, limited government and building and promoting strong families.Read More Here Read More
PolitickerNJ: Cressen rally included Guadagno, Kyrillos, and many others, at the Dublin House → June 8, 2015 Kaylyn O Many friends and backers of the brave Rob Cressen turned out to his annual fundraising rally this past Tuesday night at the Dublin House in Red Bank.A prized GOP operative, Cressen is battling CRPS (complex regional pain syndrome).Read More Here Read More
PHL-15: Inquirer Poll: Kenney 42 Williams 15 Abraham 15 → May 13, 2015 Jennifer Munro For weeks, if not months, we’ve lamented the lack of any independent polling in the Philly Mayoral race. Well, fret no more.The Philadelphia Inquirer, Daily News, NBC10 and Telemundo 62 all teamed up for a survey.The result is a massive lead for former City Councilman Jim Kenney. Read More
